Media all over the world are on high alert after the revelation that US President Donald Trump has contracted coronavirus.
Now, Danish researchers at the University of Copenhagen (KU) in collaboration with Rigshospitalet and Bispebjerg Hospital have revealed that they can offer a decent prediction about the result of Trump’s fight with COVID-19.
Last night’s prediction included a calculation that, based on experience with Danes with a similar profile, would have Trump over 50 percent chance of being admitted.
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Lots of uncertainty
More alarming, however, was that Danish researchers also predicted that Trump’s chances of succumbing to the virus were 10-20 percent.
The prediction model is made using data regarding Danes infected with COVID-19 from spring to mid-June, which could make the results a little more uncertain, as Denmark did not test as many people as they are now.
But the biggest variability factor is that Trump is reported to have tested positive without any symptoms – the data that Danes use is based on patients with symptoms.
“It’s important to remember that we do not have all the dark numbers from the spring in the model, so we are a little overestimating when we say that Trump has over a 50 percent chance of being admitted.” Mads Nielsen, computer scientist at KU, told TV2 News.
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The next few days are important
Yet this forecast seems to have held water when it was reported that President was rushed to hospital for treatment later last night.
According to Thomas Benfield, professor and physician at Hvidovre Hospital, Trump’s profile is very similar to patients he treated at the beginning of the pandemic.
“Trump is like the typical patient we saw hospitalized six months ago:
mid 70s, man, slightly overweight and has a chronic illness, โsaid Benfield in reference to Trump reportedly took Rosuvastatin for high cholesterol.
“The coming days will be critical.”
Source: The Nordic Page