Yle’s monthly poll of political parties suggests that the opposition National Coalition Party would lose some space among voters during the month. The right middle-sized party lost 1.1 percentage points of support to gain the approval of 16.6 percent of voters.
The voting changes for all major parties were clearly within the margin of error of the survey, and the rankings of the parties did not change compared to the previous voter survey.
During the fall Petteri Orpo-leading party has tried to raise its profile by criticizing the government’s coronary virus mitigation methods and economic policies. Pollster Economic Research said the strategy does not seem to have paid off.
"NCP supporters are now on the sidelines. In other words, many of the people who said they voted for the party in the previous election are now indecisive about their party, which they support," Research Director Economic Research Tuomo Turja said.
This is the second consecutive month that support for the National Contact Point has fallen, and for the first time since last summer, voter acceptance has fallen below 17% and below its turnout in last year’s election.
"Support for NCP has decreased, especially among entrepreneurs. Of all the parties, it loses the most support to the Finnish party, which is the most popular party for businessmen," Turja added.
The women were attracted to the Finnish party
At the same time, the largest opposition group, the nationalist Finnish Party, received a marginal 0.5 percentage point increase from voter approval to complete the poll in second place with 19.5 percent support. Jussi Halla-alothe leading party has also set a slightly more distance between itself and the national contact point.
"This time, female voters were behind the increased support of the Finnish party," Turja stated.
prime minister Sanna MarinThe Social Democratic Party remains the leading poll with 21.2 percent support, although voter enthusiasm for the party fell 0.6 percentage points.
Signs of life in the center
Yle’s latest poll shows that there is optimism about the Central Party, which has long sought to get out of nowhere with regard to voter intentions. In early September, the party chose Annika Saarikko as chairman of the party amid high expectations that he would turn around the party’s assets.
Although Yle’s October survey showed no movement, the latest survey showed that party support rose slightly, by almost a percentage point. It is now supported by just over 12 percent of voters.
"The Central Party is gradually returning to its base. The new support will come mainly from dormant voters or insecure voters returning to the crowd," Turja said.
The party is still far from where it would like to be. Saarikko has set a goal of collecting 17.5 percent of the vote during the municipal elections in April next year.
According to the economic study, the changes that have taken place since the election of the new chairman have encouraged the party.
"It appears that the change in leadership has to some extent contributed to the increase in support for the Center," Turja noticed.
Greens in place
The Greens did not show significant movement in the survey, but have also not been able to recover lost support. The party now supports 10.8 per cent of voters, 11.5 per cent of parliamentary elections.
When the Minister of the Interior Maria Ohisalo was elected chairman last summer, voter enthusiasm rose to over 14 per cent. However, a steady and gradual decline began late last year when Sanna Marin took over the SDP.
"Background data clearly show that the party in favor of green support is the SDP," Turja stated.
Voter approval for the Minister of Education Li AnderssonThe Left Alliance rose to 7.7 per cent after the party’s fifth consecutive position.
Among the smaller parties, the Christian Democrats saw an increase of 0.7 percentage points to reach 4 percent support. At the same time, 4.3 per cent of those surveyed said they would vote for the Swedish People’s Party and 1.6 per cent said Movement Now would get their vote.
The economic survey interviewed 2,457 people from October 12 to November 3. A total of 1661 revealed their party communities. The margin of error was +/- two percentage points.