Therefore, the Conservatives’ health spokesman, Per Larsen, will hear the minister what considerations the government is making to avoid what he describes as a nightmare scenario.
– It should shed light on how much security we have to get the vaccines delivered on which agreements have been made, he says.
– If we get all the way in the autumn before people have been vaccinated, then we do not know if the protection for the first vaccinated will run out, so we risk coming afterwards and then maybe get a third wave.
– It is really a horror scenario, which may have the consequence that we will have to shut down again.
The calendar for the vaccine program is made by the National Board of Health. The latest edition from 3 May states that anyone over the age of 16 who wants a vaccination against covid-19 has been offered it in week 29 at the end of July.
After this, the plan is for everyone to have completed a vaccination in week 33, which is at the end of August.
However, various analysts have raised concerns that the calendar is too optimistic.
The concern is based, among other things, on the Danish authorities’ expectations for deliveries of vaccines from the German company CureVac and the American company Novavax.
The two vaccines are not currently in the vaccination program, but are being evaluated by the European Medicines Agency, EMA.
In Denmark, the authorities expect to receive larger deliveries of these during the summer than the authorities do in Norway and Sweden, for example.
In Norway, the vaccination calendar does not contain any CureVac or Novavax vaccines in June and 320,000 in July and 250,000 in August.
In Sweden, the authorities expect 139,000 vaccines from CureCac in June and an average of 380,000 per month from July to September.
In Denmark, the authorities keep the cards closer to the body, so it is not clear exactly how many vaccines you expect to get from Curevax and Novavax.
Instead, one has a track in the vaccination calendar called “other vaccines.” Here, the authorities expect to get about 555,000 in June.
The calendar becomes even more vague from July onwards, as vaccine deliveries from Pfizer and Moderna are combined with “other vaccines”.
Here, authorities are expected to receive just over a million vaccine doses more than Pfizer and Moderna are expected to deliver in June. Whether this is in the form of increased deliveries from the two or from Curevax and Novavax is not stated.
This surprises, among other things, chief strategist at Nordea Andreas Steno, who has told Ekstra Bladet that in his opinion, this means that the vaccination calendar is two to four weeks too optimistic.
Danske Bank’s analyzes also reach a similar conclusion, while the analysis company Airfinity predicts an even greater delay.