To put it in context, in May 2020, the same parties were able to muster 60 percent of the votes in a poll by Voxmeter.
– The measurement points in the direction that there is great movement in the electorate. It points in the direction that the blue parties have stabilized, says political commentator Hans Engell.
– This is a measurement that Mette Frederiksen (S) must take seriously.
Political commentator at the Althing Erik Holstein would like to see the trend from the Voxmeter poll repeated in other polls before he is convinced that it reflects the political reality one by one.
However, he points out that some of the trends are repeated in other measurements. Especially that the Social Democrats, the Socialist People’s Party and the Unity List can to a lesser and lesser extent cover up the fact that the Radicals still stand for a voter slap:
– The Radicals are definitely in crisis and have been for over a year, he says.
– Both a strategic political crisis, where you have difficulty dealing with the situation that you are no longer a center party.
– But also the very acute around these cases that just keep swarming ahead of time.
In the poll, the six parties that make up the red bloc stand at 49.3 percent of the vote.
The opposite is the six parties that make up the opposition – Left, Conservative, Danish People’s Party, New Bourgeois, Liberal Alliance and the Christian Democrats – to 47.1 percent.
For the opposition, this is largely the same as the election result in 2019, while for the red bloc it is about three percentage points lower.
Part of the explanation is that there are more respondents than usual who answer that they will vote for one of the parties that are not eligible to run yet.
This corresponds to 3.6 percent in Voxmeter’s survey.
It could cover voters who want to vote for Lars Løkke Rasmussen’s new party, the Moderates. That party has collected enough voter declarations to be eligible to run. But it has not applied to become so yet.
It could be voters who want to vote for Free Greens. The party was stumbling close on Monday to having collected enough voter declarations.
But Frie Grønne may end up becoming part of a fragmented left wing and, together with the Vegan Party and the Alternative, fall short on election night.
– They are very scattered and divided. Even if they all had to be lined up, it looks like a huge waste of votes, he says of the three parties.
The poll comes while most parties are focusing on the elections in 98 municipalities and five regions next month.
Here, however, changing national political trends will only take effect with about a third of the force, Hans Engell estimates. Thus, the national political winds do not have to have major consequences there, he predicts.
Source: The Nordic Page