Although the coalition has halved its lead in the last couple of months, it need not worry too much because the leaders of the opinion polls lose their advantage when the parties hit the campaign trail, he reminded. Tuomo TurjaResearch Director of Economic Studies.
“The closer to the elections, the closer to the top parties. History has shown that even a wide lead in the polls tends to melt away when the election campaigns really start, he commented to the public broadcasting company, referring to the 2015 parliamentary elections.
The center won the election with 21.1 percent of the vote, although it was almost 27 percent at the end of the previous year.
Taloustutkimus interviewed 2,644 people for the survey between 9 and 31. January.
According to Turja, the popularity of the Coalition is falling mainly because a growing part of those who previously voted for the right-wing party did not state their preferences. The percentage of respondents who are unsure of their choice has increased overall since the previous survey, and only 69 percent of respondents indicated their party.
According to him, the approach of the elections also explains this phenomenon.
“Election campaigns have started and voters have started to think more carefully about which party will finally get their vote. The share of those who are unsure of their views has increased, and it is clearly visible here,” he explained.
“I am sure it will be a tight race. The national coalition cannot be sure of its top position.
According to Turja, in the light of recent history, SDP has succeeded exceptionally well in maintaining its appeal despite the burden of the prime minister.
“Usually the prime minister’s party is the one that suffers the most from the measures taken during the election period. We currently have a popular prime minister and an unusually popular government, which means those things are likely to have an impact, he said.
The five governing parties are predicted to get 51.5 percent of the votes together.
The Greens and the Center changed places as the fourth and fifth most popular parties, the former rising 0.7 points to 10.3 percent and the latter falling 0.8 points to 10.1 percent. According to Turja, the green alliance was boosted by the reinforcement of support from several previous supporters.
“The center benefits from a well-functioning party organization and election machinery,” he added.
Support for the Left Alliance fell from 8.6 percent to 7.6 percent, as some of the ruling party’s supporters began to weigh their options. The Swedish People’s Party increased by 0.4 points to 4.4 percent, the Christian Democrats by 1.1 points to 4.0 percent and Movement Now by 0.5 points to 1.8 percent.
The revival of the Christian Democrats is due to the support of the respondents who previously gave their support to the Basic Finns, Turja said.
Aleksi Teivainen – HT
Source: The Nordic Page
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