SDP’s support has not changed from 19.9 percent.
Tuomo TurjaThe research director of Taloustukkusma stated to the Finnish public radio that the results are typical of a post-election survey in that they correspond quite well to the election result.
The drop in the center’s position by 1.1 points after the election to 10.2 percent is an indication of another common trend. “Traditionally, it has happened that the party that lost the most in the elections continues with the same trend,” said Turja.
The Green Party and the Left Alliance share the fifth place in the survey, with the former increasing by 0.4 points and the latter by 0.5 points, rising to 7.5 percent.
Although the support of the two left-green parties has recovered after the election, Turja warned against interpreting it as a sign that those who voted tactically are strengthening their support for their usual choice. Opinion polls show that an unusually large proportion of respondents – more than 90 percent – stand on the side of the party they supported in the elections.
– Of those who voted for a party a month ago, at least nine out of ten think they will still vote for the same party, Turja said. – In this light, the Social Democrats are not in a situation where voters who favor the Greens or the left-wing coalition would regret it.
The Social Democratic Party benefited by far the most from tactical voting in the elections. research as director of Kantar Public Toivo Think Tank. Almost a quarter (23%) of its voters indicated that the party was their second choice and received their vote because they were trying to ensure or prevent the formation of a certain form of government coalition.
Secondary votes constituted an average of 8.7 percent of the vote share of the other eight parties.
The think tank is affiliated with the national coalition.
On Thursday, Turja also drew attention to another sign of low voter mobility: the Social Democrats do not seem to be affected by Prime Minister Sanna Marini’s announcement that she will not seek re-election as party leader.
The Christian Democrats and the Swedish People’s Party have traded places since the election, with the former rising 0.1 points to 4.3 percent and the latter falling 0.2 points to 4.1 percent. The Swedish People’s Party is thus the only one of the four parties participating in the coalition negotiations whose popularity has decreased since the elections.
Negotiations are taking place between the Coalition, Basic Finns, RKP and the Christian Democrats.
Taloustutkimus interviewed 2,594 people for the survey between April 3 and May 2. As many as 2,098 of the respondents were able and willing to reveal which party they would vote for if the elections were held today.
– An exceptionally high proportion, almost 81 percent expressed their approval, Turja emphasized to YLE.
Aleksi Teivainen – HT
Source: The Nordic Page