The support of basic Finns has increased by 0.9 points to 21.0 percent and the support of the Swedish People’s Party by 0.2 points to 4.5 percent. The Christian Democratic Party is the only one of the four parties participating in the coalition negotiations, whose popularity dropped by 0.1 points to 4.1 percent after the election.
SDP’s popularity has dropped by 0.9 points to 19.9 percent, as it seems to be in the opposition if the four aforementioned parties reach an agreement on the next government program. The center votes with 10.1 percent, which is 1.2 percentage points less than its vote share in the election.
Both the Green Party and the Left Alliance have increased by 0.7 points since the elections, the former to 7.7 and the latter to 7.8 percent.
Sakari NurmelaKantar Public’s director of research told Helsingin Sanomat that the victories of the Basic Finns and the Coalition were to be expected, as the parties that did well in the elections speed up after the elections.
“At least in recent times, parties that have gained positive momentum in elections have seen it continue post-election,” he said.
Such momentum can be explained by the media coverage of the ongoing coalition negotiations in Helsinki’s Säätytalo. Nurmela added to the newspaper that as long as the government coalition is formed without “bigger drama”, he believes that he will see big swings in the elections only after the summer holidays.
“But it is not impossible that there is movement before that. If something starts to cause friction in Säätytalo,” he said.
Changes in the popularity of the Greens, the Left Alliance and the Social Democrats, in turn, can be attributed to tactical voting – the phenomenon where voters cast their votes for a party that is not their first choice in an effort to ensure or prevent the formation of a party. a certain kind of ruling coalition. Polls by Kantar Public suggest that the Social Democrats benefited and the Green Party and the Left Alliance struggled in the elections due to the phenomenon.
“Perhaps some of the voters have now returned and it can be seen as a small decrease in the support of the Social Democrats and a slight increase in the support of both parties,” commented Nurmela.
Kantar Public interviewed 2,860 people for the survey between April 3 and May 12.
Aleksi Teivainen – HT
Source: The Nordic Page